Sunday, January 17, 2010

Golden Globe winners!

My thoughts on the show:

Didn't like Gervais. Not to be too blunt, but he stunk up the place. I suspect he was actually drunk instead of just playing for laughs (unsuccessfully at that).
Best speech of the night came early on, courtesy of Mo'Nique. Beautiful. Any doubts about her eventual Oscar win should now be dismissed. Robert Downey Jr. was also very droll upon his somewhat surprising win. The worst speech wasn't an acceptance speech, but came via Robert Di Niro, who creeped me out while joking about Martin Scorsese's "film-reel-sex video". Shudder. Thankfully, Scorsese's speech made up for that awkward intro.
And of the fashions, only two comments:
-Drew Barrymore's fuzzy shoulder caterpillar = Yikes!
-Williams Hurt's beard = Awesome!

As for the winners... well... this muddies the waters a bit.

Best Picture, Drama: Avatar
Best Picture, Musical/Comedy: The Hangover
Best Director: James Cameron, Avatar
Best Actor, Drama: Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
Best Actor, Musical/Comedy: Robert Downey Jr., Sherlock Holmes
Best Actress, Drama: Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
Best Actress, Musical/Comedy: Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia
Best Supporting Actor: Christopher Waltz, Inglourious Basterds
Best Supporting Actress: Mo'Nique, Precious
Best Screenplay: Up in the Air
Best Score: Up
Best Song: "The Weary Kind", Crazy Heart

I went 75% with my predictions, missing only Score, Actor (Musical/Comedy), and Director. The question is: what do tonight's results imply in terms of Oscar?

The music categories appear to be sewn up, but proceed with caution. Horner remains a threat to Giacchino given the potential for an Avatar sweep.

The acting prizes seem safely decided at this point, with the only real race between Streep and Bullock. I'm confident that Streep will prevail. Bullock has been coasting by on her charm and grace thus far, but when voters actually consider the performances, I don't see how they can give it to anyone but Streep. The performance is what matters, right? ... Right?

Up in the Air has Adapted Screenplay in the bag, but it's dominance of the precursor season has unfortunately prevented any clues regarding the Original Screenplay race to emerge. Inglourious Basterds or The Hurt Locker?

Now the big puzzler: Best Picture / Director. It is a tight two-horse race between Avatar and The Hurt Locker. Most people (including James Cameron himself) thought Bigelow was the winner here. It's a whole new ballgame now. While history and logic dictate that The Hurt Locker should win both at the Oscars (being the only film to earn mentions from all the most important guilds), that new preferential ballot may just be key to an Avatar victory. When will we know? The Best Film Editing award on Oscar night will tell us who is winning Best Picture. Until then we'll just have to wait. Perhaps the guild winners will shed some preemptive light on the situation.

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