Wednesday, July 1, 2009

Predictions - July 2009

The big news of the month: the Academy's lame-brain decision to expand the best Picture category to 10 nominees. Some folks around the web seem to think this gives new life to popular blockbuster fare (Star Trek or The Hangover), but those of us who are wiser understand that even if there were 100 open slots, these films are still no more likely to be nominated.

The only film I could see truly benefiting from this is Up. Pixar is WAY overdue for a Best Picture nomination, and with all the fire AMPAS received last year for shafting WALL-E, there is a chance they'll finally get over their stubbourn animation bias and reward Up. But of what importance is this Best Picture nomination now? Anyone who's seen all of Pixar's films (a lot of people) knows that there have been at least four or five others more deserving of a Best Picture nomination than Up. But to that end, it's time to update the BP playing field:

-Added to the Best Picture race are Amelia, The Hurt Locker, The Lovely Bones, Precious: Based on the Novel by Sapphire, and Up.
-Steven Soderbergh is replaced in Best Director by Kathryn Bigelow. Two women in the Best Director race? That would be too cool.
-Due to weak critical response for Cheri, Michelle Pfeiffer is bumbed by Gabourey Sidibe (Precious) in Best Actress. In Supporting Actor, Christopher Waltz and Matt Damon replace Billy Crudup and Emile Hirsch, and Meryl Streep chases Patricia Clarkson in Supporting Actress.
-In Original Screenplay, Away We Go and Whatever Works make way for The Hurt Locker and 500 Days of Summer.
-No movement in the craft categories except that The Hurt Locker finds its way into Film Editing at the expense of Green Zone.

No comments: