Sunday, February 1, 2009

"One Category at a Time" - Best Supporting Actor

There's almost no reason to analyze this catgeory; we know Heath Ledger will win on Oscar night. And really, what other choice do voters have? Even if he had really tough competition (it's been a thin year for supporting roles) he would still win this handily.

As for the rest, the nomination will be the reward, and there are some satisfying inclusions. Robert Downey Jr.'s nomination for playing Kirk Lazurus in Tropic Thunder is a wonderfuly off-beat choice which is richly deserved. Josh Brolin's portrayal of Dan White in Milk is also among the year's best, and it's good to see him acknowledged after a couple of very strong years.

Then we have Michael Shannon. While I wouldn't have put him on my personal ballot, it's good to see Rvolutionary Road get recognition in at least one major category (but it really aught to be Kate Winslet). The only nominee I have a problem with is Philip Seymour Hoffman, whose role in Doubt is more of a lead, and there are better options anyway.

For instance, I would have replaced these two with Eddie Marsan in Happy-Go-Lucky and Gary Oldman in The Dark Knight. While Shannon and Hoffman were both solid, they still seemed to be "acting". Marsan and Oldman really made you believe they were real people, giving natural performances that made their respective films all the more convincing.

As I said, doesn't matter. Heath Ledger as it in the bag. It's all part of the plan.

Will win: Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
Should win: Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight

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